Week Ahead

“Never think that lack of variability is stability. Don’t confuse lack of volatility with stability, ever.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb

FOMC, GDP releases and especially the Thursday Earning Trifecta will be key this week as we wait for the vote on the next round of financial support programs.
Remember that we will also have to deal with a lot of continued headline risk, not only as the administration continues to try and pump up the volume on stimulus and a vaccine but also on the China escalation front.
Our base-case scenario (sentiment, technicals and seasonals) remains that we started a topping process on Monday 13th and we’ll continue to focus on our roadmap from here on.
Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read our latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too).
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“Change happens in an instant. It happens the moment you DECIDE to change.” – Allyson Lewis

As we have been highlighting, Monday 13th was a ‘key’ day and you should not underestimate the importance of the reversals we witnessed on that day along with the intraday action > FAANG+M, Copper, Tesla and so on.
In today’s session we are going to continue to focus on the recent all too familiar text-book earnings pump and fade dynamics along with where this fits into things from a cyclical and seasonal perspective.
Don’t forget that despite the ever increasing headline risk, markets remain extremely complacent at these levels.
ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“My ability to do what is uncomfortable enhances the profitability.” – Richard Driehaus

ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, one by one.” – Charles MacKay

ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Chart of the Day

“At one point in your life you either have the thing you want or the reasons why you don’t.” – Andy Roddick

ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Week Ahead

“The key to success is to keep growing in all areas of life – mental, emotional, spiritual, as well as physical.” – Julius Erving

Here are 3 of the many Key things to keep an eye on this week.
(I) Reversals from last Monday > FAANG+M, Copper, Tesla and so on:
(II) Action into and ‘post’ earnings release for the heavy hitters > as we have been discussing and anticipating. See intraday dynamics on GS, JPM and NFLX last week:
(III) Asymmetric opportunities across the board on both to the long and short size as highlighted by ES/DXY dynamics:
ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“Fill your bowl to the brim and it will spill. Keep sharpening your knife and it will blunt. Chase after money and security and your heart will never unclench. Care about people’s approval and you will be their prisoner. Do your work, then step back. The only path to serenity.” – Lao Tzu

Today we will continue to focus on the importance of Monday’s action, not only in terms of individual price dynamics but also how it fits into the data schedule, overall cycles and seasonal patterns.
ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.” – Sun Tzu

ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“Move not unless you see an advantage” – Sun Tzu

Focus on key inflection points and filter out the noise. Today discussion will follow-up on why the ‘noise’ level is likely to remain elevated with plenty of shenanigans as we make our way into OpEx and FAANG+M earnings.
ICYMI > Foundational Sessions are back up > here.
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If you are interested in attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.