’17 Charts

Focus on Tech

| 50Pips
“Lucky fools do not bear the slightest suspicion that they may be lucky fools – by definition, they do not know that they belong to such a category.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Following the release of the Alphabet numbers yesterday after the close, focus will be to see on how US markets will open and if we get any kind of follow-through on the initial knee-jerk selling that came through.

Latest weekly outlook video highlights where we are at and what we are focusing on into FOMC this Wednesday. Clearly, the most interesting chart dynamics that are playing out are on the DAX.

Interesting to also look at DXY on weekly and monthly time-frames to help with the bigger picture view.

As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

Friday Roundup

| 50Pips
“The greatest fear in the world is of the opinions of others. And the moment you are unafraid of the crowd you are no longer a sheep, you become a lion. A great roar arises in your heart, the roar of freedom.” – Osho
Everyone is focused if waiting to see if the S&P and the Nasdaq Futures can put in another positive close today to make it 11 in a row… from the stats we have seen floating around, the run to 11 on the S&P has extended only once in something like the last 20 years but as they say; records are made to be broken right?
Looks like time is running out on our call for a vix spike this week but then again, would not be the first time we have be wrong and as you can imagine, the longer they keep a lid on it, playing ‘whack-a-mole’ with that 10 mark, the more explosive the spike will be when it comes… we are not in a hurry. Plenty of patience here.
We posted some key charts this week, don’t hesitate to look back and in case you missed them, you can also check out our weekly outlook video and the F.A.C.E. Interview.
Here are some charts for today:
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

No Limits

| 50Pips
“If you always put limits on everything you do, physical or anything else. It will spread into your work and into your life. There are no limits. There are only plateaus, and you must not stay there, you must go beyond them.” – Bruce Lee
Pretty sure that Bruce Lee wasn’t issuing a subliminal message to a future generation of central bankers but who knows… stranger things have happened.
As we discussed in our latest outlook video, today should mark the start of the real action this week or at the very least, action on decent volumes and not this low volume churn that we had anticipated.
Here are some of the charts we will be focusing on today:
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

Emphasize Losses

| 50Pips
“Like most successful people, secure in their trade and stature, I tend to emphasize my losses. The main reason is that it keeps me humble, an essential for success in a field where one false move can lead to irreversible disaster.” – Victor Niederhoffer
Not much to add to what we said in our latest outlook video as we wait for BOJ/ECB Thursday. Focus remains on the DXY and next rounds of CPI releases.
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

Buy Everything

| 50Pips
“Beware those who seek constant crowds for they are nothing alone.” – Charles Bukowski
 If you missed it, you might want to take a look at this tweet for a succinct summary of the current investment picture and prevailing mood. It’s very hard to do a better job than that comment to highlight the status-quo. Furthermore, since we are on the subject of tweets, a subscriber sent it this gem.
As readers know, we are definitely not fans of buying highs, so if forced to participate in the buying party, we would much rather focus on ZBs, possibly GC (as discussed in the webinars, we prefer to express this view by holding short USDJPY) and for the high adrenaline junkies why not look at the VIX 😉
Stay tuned…
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

Back to Reality

| 50Pips
“I learned long ago, never to wrestle with a pig. You get dirty, and besides, the pig likes it.” – George Bernard Shaw
Without repeating our rant from the IPO, we will simply present the SNAP chart without commentary; the blog post title should suffice.
As discussed in the weekly outlook video, heads up for the BOC rate decision and presser today. USDCAD is a prime candidate for fireworks today, especially if we do not get any action from Poloz & Co.
Very nice reaction on Crude with bullish reversal right at those previous lows, we consider 47s/42s to be a massive chop zone with very little edge inside.
Another healthy and boring reminder that one of these days, the VIX is going to get very ugly to the upside. Enjoy the lull at lows until it lasts but try not to get your face ripped off when it wakes-up.
As discussed yesterday, we continue to feel that the best r/r to try and take advantage of intraday equity weakness and cracks continues to be USDJPY.
Heads-up for UK data today, we are still focused on the 1.28 mark being pivotal inside the 1.30/1.26 range.
As we discussed, the most interest chart into Monday trade was the possible break-down of NZDUSD… so, game-on on Kiwi but we would still be very nimble on this play.
Swings still in play and EURUSD and EURGBP with equities still playing hard to get as we enter the key phase of the week.
Wishing everyone a great day ahead!
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

Waiting for Action

| 50Pips
“Speed of mind is everything and having the ability to stick with your decision.” – David Kyte
As discussed in the latest weekly outlook, NZDUSD remains one of the most interesting charts as we wait for action to pick up in the back-end of the week.
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

A Thousand Words

| 50Pips
“What we learn from history is that people don’t learn from history.” – Warren Buffett
As traders wake up to another ‘hit and run’ on Silver in the overnight session, we are patiently waiting to see what NFP will bring. We have discussed this phenomenon in detail many times in the past and will not start another rant today 😉 What we will do is leave you with a couple of pictures that are worth a thousand words. We would strongly urge you to study these charts, keeping in mind what we have been repeatedly discussing and put them in the context of  asymmetric risk/reward and healthy market moves.
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.

Thursday Blues

| 50Pips
“Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.” – George Soros
Even as Geo-political risk seems to be escalating, markets remain in a holding pattern. As we discussed in our latest outlook video, we believe that more and more cracks are showing, especially on the tech side. Instead of sounding like a broken record, as we wait for the next catalyst, we will simply post a collection of charts to highlight what we are focusing on:
As always there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.