FOMC, AAPL and NFP

“When I trade at home, I often watch the sparrows in my garden. When I feed them bread, they take just a little piece at a time and fly away. They keep on flying back and forth, taking small bits of bread. They may have to make a hundred stabs at a piece of bread to get what a pigeon gets at one time, but that is why a pigeon is a pigeon. You will never be able to shoot a sparrow, it is just too fast. That is the way I day trade. For example, there are times during the day when I am sure that the S&P is going up, but I don’t try to pick the bottom, and I am out before it tops. I just take the mid-range where the momentum is greatest. That, to me, is trading like a sparrow eats.” – Mark Weinstein

here are what we consider to be the 3 most important charts for the week and possibly q4. We will be discussing the seasonal patterns, context and trade strategy in detail in the Video Updates and Webinars:
Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read our latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too).
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Into ECB

“Notice that the stiffest tree is most easily cracked, while the bamboo or willow survives by bending with the wind.” – Bruce Lee

Some key European charts as we head into the ECB meeting:
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If you are interested in attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Early Morning Update

“We are in the business of making mistakes. The only difference between the winners and the losers is that the winners make small mistakes, while the losers make big mistakes” – Ned Davis

ICYMI > make sure you check out our key themes and charts for the week: here.
Hereafter some of the supporting charts for today’s webinar:
Source: Bespoke Investment
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Week Ahead

“You can’t desire the action more than you want to win. I didn’t become successful until I decided that winning was more important than playing” – Marty Schwartz

Key themes we will be discussing in the Video Updates and Webinars this week:
– Headline risk: impeachment, China, Hong Kong, Brexit, Syria…
– Broader market technicals focusing on FANG+ and Small Caps.
– Latest US data, ramifications for Fed action, DXY impact and ensuing trades (i.e. GOld and Bonds).
– Earnings so far and key risks this week along with build up to key FOMC/Apple day.
– Brexit: recent developments, what this means for GBP trades and bigger picture asset flows. (i.e. UK and EU equities).
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If you are interested in attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“Learn to take losses. The most important thing in making money is not letting your losses get out of hand.” – Marty Schwartz

Can’t possibly stress enough how important DXY dynamics are, not only for the current setups we have been discussing but more importantly, for moves into year end. This will be our focus in today’s webinar session…
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Week Ahead

“I’m always asked “What’s the secret to success?”. The secret is, there is no secret. Be humble, hungry and the hardest worker in the room.” – Dwayne Johnson

As we head into Monday, here are the key themes we tackled in the latest Weekly Outlook Video and what we will be building on in the Daily Webinar Sessions:
1. Following the all too telegraphed Mini-Deal, is this a sell the news event?
2. What to expect as we head into this Earning Season.
3. Which Seasonal patterns should we be focusing on and which ones are likely going to be negated by the current context.
Courtesy of @movement_cap
4. Upcoming Fed Meeting: cut or no cut?
5. On-going Geo-Political risk: key themes, on the radar and what to ignore.
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If you are interested in attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Trade Talk Circus

“Let me give you a tip – moping around like a sad puppy dog isn’t going to help you. Change your attitude. Attitude is the one thing you have total control over and the minute you let doubt, depression or martyrdom creep in, you set yourself up for a long life of mediocrity.” – Jim Wendler

Sadly but surely the Trade Talk Circus remains in full swing. There is no change to our bigger picture outlook as we wait to get through this latest round of discussion and move into earnings seasons.
In today’s Video Update, we are going to focus on and try to model the different scenarios for these next two days: levels to watch, fade/momo zones, tactical and longer-term positioning.
Don’t forget to keep an eye on Crude:
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If you are interested in attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“The secret to being successful from a trading perspective is to have an indefatigable and an undying and unquenchable thirst for information and knowledge.” – Paul Tudor Jones (if you missed the link to the documentary, you can access it > here)

Still trading heavy but in our opinion, risk rewards still favors looking for tactical long opportunities:
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Focus on Trade Talks

“Everything is tested in historical markets.  The past is a pretty good predictor of the future.  It’s not perfect.  But human beings drive markets, and human beings don’t change their stripes overnight.  So to the extent that one can understand the past, there’s a good likelihood you’ll have some insight into the future.” – James Simons

The Key Charts we highlighted into NFP remain on the radar.
Remember that, once again, we have a lot Central Bankers on the wires this week and even if we will likely get a lot of noise of out Washington on the whistle-blower and impeachment talks, bar any real headlines, it’s all and only about the next round of US-China trade talks on Thursday and Friday. Don’t make it harder that it is; that what really matters to market in the short-term.
If you are serious about attracting Investor Capital/finding Investible Strategies please check out our dedicated Darwinex page.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.