Week Ahead

Once again, we find ourselves in a situation where is it all and only about Trump. Despite the fact that we have the FED and the ECB on deck this week, the real focus will remain on the December 15th Tariff Deadline.
Other key things to focus on apart from the usual data releases: UK Election, first Lagarde Presser, SNB rate/Presser and BOC Gov Poloz Economic Outlook . Nevertheless, the reality is that regardless of what happens this week, it could all easily be reversed over the weekend due to the Tariff Deadline.
All in all, as long as jobs data remains strong and markets at ATH, we would expect Trump to feel Bullet-Proof and therefore with no inclination to fold on his CHina demands. We will be focusing on mapping the various scenarios along with possible moves not only for intra-week action but especially to be ready for the next Sunday open too.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Keep Calm & Carry On?

“There is more to hear in what is not said.” – Joyce Rachelle

Today we’ll update our outlook post FOMC and into NFP:

Shorter Fed: everything is good, not going to cut again unless something bad happens but still not going to hike even if everything stays good; we would need things to be great to consider that. We’ll keep on providing liquidity, you go ahead and buy stuff – except dollars – and remember that there are no bubbles.

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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Waiting for Action

Following on from yesterday’s post, we’ll just have to be patient and let flows pick up.
As this Bespoke pointed out, yesterday was lowest volume full trading day since December of 2017 and the lowest SPY volume day since November 2017.
Brexit time-line into Saturday:
Reminder, no real details of the U.S.-China deal in China’s national media. Focus was on Nepal and India:
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Mid-Week Update

OpEX/FOMC/Seasonal short into this week is playing out as per historic stats but would just like to caution about pressing shorts here into quarter end on a trade that has become very ‘public’. Doesn’t mean it can’t play out but would be cautious.
Would prefer to see it fail a proper flush and then bounce into early October. As posted yesterday, full disclosure, flat on all short term plays just holding small swing on RTY.
No crystal ball here. As always, price will tell us what is going on but have the feeling that the Don + quarter end could catch late emotional shorts off-guard. We’ll see soon enough. Play well!
Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read our latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too).
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For newer readers, it’s always worth catching up on our Trading Reflections post.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Early Morning Update

For newer readers, it’s always worth catching up on our Trading Reflections post.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Early Morning Update

For newer readers, it’s always worth catching up on our Trading Reflections post.
If you are serious about attracting Investor Capital/finding Investible Strategies please check out our dedicated Darwinex page.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Early Morning Update

“The scientific spirit is of more value than its products, and irrationally held truths may be more harmful than reasoned errors.” – Thomas Henry Huxley,

For newer readers, it’s always worth catching up on our Trading Reflections post.
If you are serious about attracting Investor Capital/finding Investible Strategies please check out our dedicated Darwinex page.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Early Morning Update

“Exceptional people really do come to believe that the journey is more important than the destination.” – Bob Rotella

For newer readers, it’s always worth catching up on our Trading Reflections post.
If you are serious about attracting Investor Capital/finding Investible Strategies please check out our dedicated Darwinex page.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Early Morning Update

“The key to trading success is emotional discipline. If intelligence were the key, there would be a lot more people making money trading.” – Victor Sperandeo

For newer readers, it’s always worth catching up on our Trading Reflections post.
If you are serious about attracting Investor Capital/finding Investible Strategies please check out our dedicated Darwinex page.
If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.