Focus on Pivotal Levels

“If you would hit the mark, you must aim a little above it; every arrow that flies feels the attraction of earth.” – Henry Wadsworth Longfellow
Busy week ahead with US Mid-Terms Election, RBA, RBNZ and FOMC. As headline risk remains very high, the focus will be on how we close the week with respect to those 200DMAs and the 50Back retracements of the recent moves from the all time highs. Remember to keep an eye on USDCNH, and the weekly chop zones on DXY and therefore the Euro.

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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Charts of the Day

“Beware those who seek constant crowds for they are nothing alone.” – Charles Bukowski
Busy day as we will have to deal with o/n China Deal news, AAPL post earnings shenanigans and NFP.
Not much has changed to what we have been discussing this week. If interested, just scroll back through recent posts and charts.
Here are some of the key dynamics to focus on today:

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Chart of the Day

“Every man who knows how to read has it in his power to magnify himself, to multiply the ways in which he exists, to make his life full, significant and interesting.” – Aldous Huxley
If you are not paying attention to CNH, then you are probably not paying attention. Intraday action has been extremely interesting and has been offering an incredible opportunity to see how flows are being influenced by the fight that is taking place at highs. Today we will discuss this in detail and review why this is a key piece of the puzzle to spark the next moves in the fx and metals space.
In terms of equities, remember to keep an eye on the ‘flip the switch’ pivotal levels, so far so good with respect to our outlook. We will review and discuss management of the downside rotations, along with the respecting evolving targets for the bigger moves.
Also don’t forget to keep in mind that AAPL is still doing the heavy lifting and that all in all, it still hasn’t move much…

Don’t forget to keep an eye on Japan.
Check out our latest Weekly Outlook Video.
If you are interested in a more structured way of tackling the business of trading, attending a live daily morning call or a more detailed discussion on the charts we post / trade ideas, don’t hesitate to check out our Premium content.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

 

Charts of the Day

“The victory of success is half won when one gains the habit of setting goals and achieving them. Even the most tedious chore will become endurable as you parade through each day convinced that every task, no matter how menial or boring, brings you closer to fulfilling your dreams.” – Og Mandino
Another key day in the markets as the cavalry came in and saved the day right at those key marks on ES/YM/NQ. Once again, we cannot stress how important those levels are from a day and week closing basis. We have been discussing and detailing this for some time but even if you haven’t been in the sessions, the price action should be self explanatory.
If you missed if, check out our latest Weekly Outlook Video. In response to a few questions that came in and to make sure the release schedule is clear, please note that, for the time being, the outlook video is available to 50 on Markets subscribers into the Sunday open and then posted on the blog after the Monday US open.
We have attached 3 of the most important screens we are focused on at the moment. Finally markets are moving again and giving us plenty of opportunity. Remember to focus on the bigger picture, especially now that traditional correlations are starting to come back into play.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“In essence, if we want to direct our lives, we must take control of our consistent actions. It’s not what we do once in a while that shapes our lives, but what we do consistently.” – Tony Robbins
Another key day in the markets as the Shanghai Composite bounce is fading. If you missed if, please check out our latest Weekly Outlook Video. We covered the main themes for the week and there is very little to add so far.
Remember to keep an eye on USDCNH as that will be one of the main intraday drivers of momo and flows, especially in relation to the metals. It’s a key piece of the puzzle and as we have been discussing, of the virtuous chain-reaction across asset-classes. More on all this in the webinar into NY open.
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Wishing you a great day ahead.

Chart of the Day

“A moment of choice is a moment of truth. It’s the testing point of our character and competence.” – Stephen Cove
No change to what we discussed in our Latest Weekly Outlook video. Our main focus remains on the DXY and developments out of the Trump-Manford-Cohen debacle.
For the DXY view, it’s all about those weekly reversals across the board, the extremes have been set, we just have to wait and see if they hold and moves get traction. As far as equities are concerned, it’s all about developments out of Washington and possible twitter bombs… this is far from being over.
As always, there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.
ICYMI (offer will end this week) >Video Updates: Early Bird. If you have any questions on this service, please do not hesitate to use to the contact form to get in touch.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Focus on DXY

LLOYD: “I’ll bet you 20 bucks I can get you gambling before the end of the day!?”
HARRY: “No way.”
LLOYD: “I’ll give you 3 to 1 odds?”
HARRY: “Nope.”
LLOYD: “5 to 1?”
HARRY: “Nope.”
LLOYD: “10 to 1?”
HARRY: “You’re on.”
 – Dumb and Dumber
No change to the latest weekly outlook video. Today we’ll focus on 3 key charts and how their relationship is key for future cyclical moves.
1. The bulls are in control on the equity side as the squeeze continues > key test here on the ES at the 2700 pivotal level in this broader chop zone:

2. DXY is still in a grind higher mode, clipping upside stops but starting to stall:

3. Gold has been trying to flush weak longs but keeps on showing signs of trying to base and coil:

Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read out latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too).
As always, there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Waiting for Trump

“I don’t think trading strategies are as vulnerable to not working if people know about them, as most traders believe. If what you are doing is right, it will work even if people have a general idea about it. I always say you could publish rules in a newspaper and no one would follow them. The key is consistency and discipline.” – Richard Dennis
Short-term, it’s all about the announcement on the Iran deal at 2:00 PM EST today. No change to the latest weekly outlook video. We’ll just have to be patient…
Note for active 50Scouts members: *make sure you read out latest update* and keep an eye on your inbox for a free pass to Friday’s daily webinar session (make sure to check your spam folder too).
As always, there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.
Wishing you a great day ahead.

Market Moves

“Human emotion is both a source of opportunity in trading and the greatest challenge. Master it and you will succeed > Ignore it at your peril.” – Curtis Faith
As discussed in our latest weekly outlook video, despite the fact that markets were trading heavy and that we expect a retest of yearly lows, markets tend to not only move in one direction for a sustained period of time. Two-way action is healthy and participants should not be surprised to see a bounce that could make it back to the 50DMAs. So far, no change in outlook, the levels are set and we have to let the market play out.
The only comment we would like to add it that recent moves to the downside have been a lot more orderly that the squeeze we witnessed yesterday. From our experience, even if this kind of squeeze action tends to always surprise as to how aggressive and sustained it can be, ultimately, they tend to give it all back. The velocity of moves is the real tell… There are a lot of factors in play but in our opinion, the underlying action is not that of a strong market but rather continues to be that of fragile squeezes in a market that still has unfinished business at lower levels.
We will discuss this in a lot more detail in today’s session.
As always, there is no substitute for real-time/live action; if you are interested in attending a daily morning call into NY with a more detailed live discussion on all the charts and ideas we highlight/review in the outlook video and here on the blog, you should check out our Daily Webinar Group.
Wishing you a great day ahead.